New Haven
W-L: ( 4-17) PR = 90.3940Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 46-53 1109 H Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 45-57 1115 H Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 58-65 1125 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 60-79 1203 H Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 54-80 1206 H UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 43-60 1208 H Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 49-63 1217 H St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 47-67 1228 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 59-64 104 A Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 70-51 110 H FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 57-65 115 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 63-56 117 H Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 45-50 124 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 61-60 131 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 57-56 205 H LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 46-65 207 H Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 57-60 214 H LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 74-78 221 H FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 55-69 226 H Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 62-64 305 H Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 50-60
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Xavier 46-53 -7 -3 0.00
1109 H Iona 45-57 -12 -2 0.00
1115 H Boston Univ 58-65 -7 -2 0.00
1125 H Fairfield 60-79 -19 -5 0.00
1203 H Siena 54-80 -26 -1 -0.58
1206 H UMass Lowell 43-60 -17 -1 -0.64
1208 H Yale 49-63 -14 -2 0.00
1217 H St. John's 47-67 -20 -5 0.00
1228 H New Hamp. 59-64 -5 -2 0.00
104 A Ce Connecticut 70-51 19 0 1.52
110 H FDU 57-65 -8 -4 0.00
115 A Chicago St 63-56 7 -1 + 2.69
117 H Wagner 45-50 -5 -1 -0.59
124 A St Francis 61-60 1 0 1.11
131 A St Francis 57-56 1 0 1.11
205 H LIU 46-65 -19 -2 -0.11
207 H Chicago St 57-60 -3 -1 -1.33
214 H LIU 74-78 -4 -2 -0.11
221 H FDU 55-69 -14 -4 0.00
226 H Wagner 62-64 -2 -1 -0.59
305 H Ce Connecticut 50-60 -10 0 - -2.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Ce Connecticut 50-60 -10 0 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 A Chicago St 63-56 7 -1 + 2.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 46-53 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 1.45 -4.40
3 H Iona (21-12, 92.8) 45-57 -7.07 3.89 -0.01 1.45 -5.12
3 H Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 58-65 -7.34 3.62 -0.01 1.45 -5.31
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 60-79 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 1.45 -2.97
3 H Siena (13-18, 91.8) 54-80 -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.45 -5.84
3 H UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 43-60 -8.14 2.82 -0.01 1.45 -5.89
3 H Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 49-63 -7.41 3.55 -0.01 1.45 -5.36
3 H St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 47-67 -4.63 6.33 -0.01 1.45 -3.35
3 H New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 59-64 -7.47 3.49 -0.01 1.45 -5.40
3 A Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 70-51 -9.99 1.00 0.01 1.45 2.92
3 H FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 57-65 -5.81 5.15 -0.01 1.45 -4.21
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 63-56 -8.82 2.14 0.01 1.45 6.20
3 H Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 45-50 -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.45 -5.85
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 61-60 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.45 4.52
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 57-56 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.45 4.52
3 H LIU (14-10, 92.3) 46-65 -7.60 3.36 -0.01 1.45 -5.50
3 H Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 57-60 -8.82 2.14 -0.01 1.45 -6.38
3 H LIU (14-10, 92.3) 74-78 -7.60 3.36 -0.01 1.45 -5.50
3 H FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 55-69 -5.81 5.15 -0.01 1.45 -4.21
3 H Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 62-64 -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.45 -5.85
3 H Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 50-60 -9.99 1.00 -0.01 1.45 -7.23
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-70.21
|
winning pts = 18.1656 losing points = -88.3775
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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